Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.546879 1.948314 2.494959 3.330553 4.652815e+00 6.832205 11.177610
2025-08-17 1.093007 1.524239 2.220529 3.562568 6.548020e+00 14.947828 63.864418
2025-08-24 0.845384 1.247111 1.963338 3.568824 8.216867e+00 31.203437 5280.294066
2025-08-31 0.683551 1.042452 1.722227 3.404805 9.337067e+00 61.897036 NaN
2025-09-07 0.602564 0.950841 1.653891 3.598300 1.240241e+01 272.279385 NaN
2025-09-14 0.531854 0.858803 1.548460 3.616589 1.514280e+01 4633.144667 NaN
2025-09-21 0.470296 0.770842 1.423458 3.492246 1.699701e+01 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.424530 0.705577 1.332749 3.431133 1.964363e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.406622 0.693273 1.366371 3.868582 3.224503e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.383415 0.665404 1.351892 4.112892 4.866427e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.355634 0.623210 1.287770 4.084154 6.138108e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.327549 0.576703 1.201585 3.890871 6.675812e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.310022 0.552353 1.175368 4.017961 1.025983e+02 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.297260 0.537213 1.172990 4.296068 2.137090e+02 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.280560 0.510791 1.130515 4.298847 3.488031e+02 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.261980 0.477972 1.062015 4.082934 3.923761e+02 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.252989 0.466935 1.060094 4.336379 1.648951e+03 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.241339 0.448208 1.029561 4.360411 7.930138e+03 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.228247 0.424761 0.979494 4.197095 2.034213e+04 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.217437 0.406009 0.942276 4.117111 1.326329e+08 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.215255 0.408282 0.976635 4.693684 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.209920 0.402066 0.980357 5.019716 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.201552 0.387351 0.950855 4.981219 NaN NaN NaN